Stock Analysis

Atlantska Plovidba d.d (ZGSE:ATPL) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

ZGSE:ATPL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Atlantska Plovidba d.d. (ZGSE:ATPL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Atlantska Plovidba d.d

What Is Atlantska Plovidba d.d's Debt?

As you can see below, Atlantska Plovidba d.d had Kn788.4m of debt, at June 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had Kn46.9m in cash, and so its net debt is Kn741.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ZGSE:ATPL Debt to Equity History October 7th 2021

A Look At Atlantska Plovidba d.d's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Atlantska Plovidba d.d had liabilities of Kn110.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of Kn721.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of Kn46.9m and Kn12.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total Kn773.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of Kn782.0m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about Atlantska Plovidba d.d's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.0, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.8 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Atlantska Plovidba d.d actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 837%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Atlantska Plovidba d.d will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Atlantska Plovidba d.d produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Neither Atlantska Plovidba d.d's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Atlantska Plovidba d.d's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Atlantska Plovidba d.d (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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