Stock Analysis

Those who invested in Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d (ZGSE:VLEN) three years ago are up 268%

ZGSE:VLEN
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Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d. (ZGSE:VLEN) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 12% in the last month. In contrast, the return over three years has been impressive. The share price marched upwards over that time, and is now 242% higher than it was. So the recent fall in the share price should be viewed in that context. If the business can perform well for years to come, then the recent drop could be an opportunity.

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the three years of share price growth, Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 16% per year.

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

We note that the dividend is higher than it was preciously, so that may have assisted the share price. Sometimes yield-chasing investors will flock to a company if they think the dividend can grow over time. On top of that, revenue grew at a rate of 24% per year, and it's likely investors interpret that as pointing to a brighter future.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ZGSE:VLEN Earnings and Revenue Growth August 1st 2023

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d the TSR over the last 3 years was 268%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 53% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 23% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Croatian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ZGSE:VLEN

Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d

Brodogradiliste Viktor Lenac d.d., together with its subsidiaries, provides newbuilding, ship repair, conversion, and other services for ships and other floating vessels in Croatia and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and overvalued.