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- SEHK:8117
China Primary Energy Holdings Limited's (HKG:8117) Shares Leap 540% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
China Primary Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:8117) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 540% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The annual gain comes to 167% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think China Primary Energy Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Gas Utilities industry is similar at about 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for China Primary Energy Holdings
What Does China Primary Energy Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
The recent revenue growth at China Primary Energy Holdings would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this good revenue growth might only be parallel to the broader industry in the near future. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Primary Energy Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like China Primary Energy Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.9%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 77% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 4.7%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
In light of this, it's curious that China Primary Energy Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On China Primary Energy Holdings' P/S
Its shares have lifted substantially and now China Primary Energy Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We didn't quite envision China Primary Energy Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for China Primary Energy Holdings (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:8117
China Primary Energy Holdings
An investment holding company, primarily transmits and distributes natural gas in the People’s Republic of China.
Slight and overvalued.