The board of Beijing Enterprises Water Group Limited (HKG:371) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CN¥0.0735 per share on the 27th of October. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 6.1%.
Beijing Enterprises Water Group's Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk
While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. Before making this announcement, Beijing Enterprises Water Group's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 30.7%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 99%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.
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Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from CN¥0.0473 total annually to CN¥0.147. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings per share has been sinking by 20% over the last five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Beijing Enterprises Water Group's payments are rock solid. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Beijing Enterprises Water Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about. Is Beijing Enterprises Water Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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