Stock Analysis

Some Investors May Be Worried About HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments' (HKG:2638) Returns On Capital

SEHK:2638
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If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. So after we looked into HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638), the trends above didn't look too great.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.04 = HK$4.6b ÷ (HK$121b - HK$5.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments has an ROCE of 4.0%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 3.4% average generated by the Electric Utilities industry.

View our latest analysis for HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments

roce
SEHK:2638 Return on Capital Employed May 4th 2023

In the above chart we have measured HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded its 5-year average.
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
Weakness
  • Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Electric Utilities industry.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Electric Utilities market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Dividends are not covered by earnings.
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market.

The Trend Of ROCE

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments. To be more specific, the ROCE was 5.1% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments to turn into a multi-bagger.

The Key Takeaway

All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 14% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments that we think you should be aware of.

While HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:2638

HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments

An investment holding company, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Hong Kong Island and Lamma Island.

Fair value with questionable track record.