Stock Analysis

Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) (HKG:2281) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.073

SEHK:2281
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The board of Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:2281) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of July, with investors receiving HK$0.073 per share. This makes the dividend yield 6.8%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

Check out our latest analysis for Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group)

Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group)'s Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 2.0% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 30% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
SEHK:2281 Historic Dividend June 14th 2021

Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group)'s Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

The track record isn't the longest, but we are already seeing a bit of instability in the payments. The dividend has gone from CN¥0.08 in 2018 to the most recent annual payment of CN¥0.06. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 9.1% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. Earnings have grown at around 2.0% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. If Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) is struggling to find viable investments, it always has the option to increase its payout ratio to pay more to shareholders.

In Summary

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group)'s payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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