Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited (HKG:1038)?

SEHK:1038
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Today we're going to take a look at the well-established CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited (HKG:1038). The company's stock saw a significant share price rise of 30% in the past couple of months on the SEHK. The company is now trading at yearly-high levels following the recent surge in its share price. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on CK Infrastructure Holdings’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for CK Infrastructure Holdings

What Is CK Infrastructure Holdings Worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 15.56x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 14.57x, which means if you buy CK Infrastructure Holdings today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe CK Infrastructure Holdings should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Furthermore, it seems like CK Infrastructure Holdings’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s priced similarly to industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of CK Infrastructure Holdings look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1038 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 7th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. CK Infrastructure Holdings' earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? 1038’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 1038? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 1038, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 1038, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - CK Infrastructure Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in CK Infrastructure Holdings, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1038

CK Infrastructure Holdings

CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited, an infrastructure company, develops, invests in, operates, and commercializes infrastructure businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and the United States.

Average dividend payer and fair value.