Stock Analysis

Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial (HKG:9699) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

SEHK:9699
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial (HKG:9699) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

See our latest analysis for Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial

How Long Is Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial's Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. As at June 2022, Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial had cash of CNÂ¥2.3b and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was CNÂ¥457m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of about 5.0 years from June 2022. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:9699 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2022

How Well Is Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial Growing?

We reckon the fact that Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial managed to shrink its cash burn by 28% over the last year is rather encouraging. Having said that, the revenue growth of 85% was considerably more inspiring. We think it is growing rather well, upon reflection. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial Raise More Cash Easily?

We are certainly impressed with the progress Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of CNÂ¥4.9b, Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial's CNÂ¥457m in cash burn equates to about 9.4% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

How Risky Is Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial's Cash Burn Situation?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its revenue growth stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Its cash burn reduction wasn't quite as good, but was still rather encouraging! After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. For us, it's always important to consider risks around cash burn rates. But investors should look at a whole range of factors when researching a new stock. For example, it could be interesting to see how much the Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial CEO receives in total remuneration.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.