Transport International Holdings Limited's (HKG:62) investors are due to receive a payment of HK$0.50 per share on 30th of June. This makes the dividend yield 3.9%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
View our latest analysis for Transport International Holdings
Transport International Holdings Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last dividend made up quite a large portion of free cash flows, and this was made worse by the lack of free cash flows. Generally, we think that this would be a risky long term practice.
If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 24.5% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 110%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from HK$1.20 in 2012 to the most recent annual payment of HK$0.50. The dividend has shrunk at around 8.4% a year during that period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. Transport International Holdings' earnings per share has shrunk at 25% a year over the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Transport International Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About SEHK:62
Transport International Holdings
An investment holding company, provides franchised and non-franchised public transportation services in the People’s Republic of China.
Adequate balance sheet low.