David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Sinotrans Limited (HKG:598) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Sinotrans
How Much Debt Does Sinotrans Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sinotrans had debt of CN¥10.2b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥12.5b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥14.0b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.79b net cash position.
How Healthy Is Sinotrans' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Sinotrans had liabilities of CN¥28.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥7.73b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥14.0b in cash and CN¥15.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.44b.
Since publicly traded Sinotrans shares are worth a total of CN¥40.4b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Sinotrans also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
On top of that, Sinotrans grew its EBIT by 44% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sinotrans's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Sinotrans has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Sinotrans actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
Although Sinotrans's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥3.79b. The cherry on top was that in converted 103% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥2.2b. So is Sinotrans's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Sinotrans has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:598
Sinotrans
Provides integrated logistics services primarily in the People’s Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.