Sinotrans Limited

SEHK:598 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$46.1b

Sinotrans Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Sinotrans's earnings are forecast to decline at 6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 6.4% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 6.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.6% in 3 years.

Key information

-6.0%

Earnings growth rate

-6.72%

EPS growth rate

Logistics earnings growth16.9%
Revenue growth rate6.4%
Future return on equity7.57%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated27 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 28

598: Upcoming Dividend And Board Decisions Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for Sinotrans to HK$6.55 from about HK$6.50, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E levels. What's in the News Board meeting on March 30, 2026, to review and approve the audited annual results for the year ended December 31, 2025, and to consider a final dividend recommendation, along with other matters (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • May 13

598: Upcoming Dividend Decision Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have increased their HK$ fair value estimate for Sinotrans from HK$6.44 to HK$6.50, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 30, 2026 to review and approve Sinotrans' annual results for the year ended December 31, 2025, and to consider a final dividend recommendation and other matters (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 29

598: Lower Growth Assumptions And Reduced P/E Will Limit Future Upside Potential

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target on Sinotrans, with their fair value estimate moving to HK$3.20 as they factor in updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 30, 2026 to review and approve Sinotrans' annual results for the year ended December 31, 2025 and to consider a final dividend recommendation, if any (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 14

598: Revised Fair Value And Dividend Outlook Will Guide Future Returns

Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Sinotrans from HK$4.89 to HK$5.06, citing updated assumptions related to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 30, 2026, to review and approve Sinotrans' annual results for the year ended December 31, 2025, and to consider a recommendation on a final dividend, if any, along with other matters (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 30

598: Upcoming Board Meeting And Dividend Decision Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Sinotrans to HK$6.44, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that together point to a slightly revised view of the company’s valuation profile. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 30, 2026 to review and approve the annual results for the year ended December 31, 2025 for Sinotrans and its subsidiaries (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 16

598: Capital Reduction And Revised Articles Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their HK$ price target for Sinotrans by approximately HK$0.01, reflecting slightly adjusted views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Extraordinary General Meeting held on 29 December 2025 approved a reduction of Sinotrans Limited's registered capital, signaling a change in the company's capital structure (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 02

598: Capital Changes And Share Incentives Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their HK$ fair value estimate for Sinotrans from HK$6.37 to about HK$6.45, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E multiples within their models. What's in the News An extraordinary general meeting on 29 December 2025 approved a reduction of registered capital and amendments to the Articles of Association, confirming earlier proposals put to shareholders (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Feb 16

598: Capital Changes And Share Incentives Will Support Future Rerating

Analysts have made a slight upward adjustment to their HK$ price target for Sinotrans, reflecting small changes in fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News The extraordinary general meeting on 29 December 2025 approved a reduction of registered capital and amendments to the Articles of Association, confirming previously proposed changes to the company bylaws (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Feb 10

Sinotrans (HKG:598) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Narrative Update • Feb 02

598: Future Capital Reduction And Buybacks Will Signal Limited Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target on Sinotrans from about $3.01 to around $3.20, citing updated assumptions that combine a higher discount rate and future P/E expectations with revised views on revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News An extraordinary general meeting on 29 December 2025 approved a reduction of registered capital and amendments to the Articles of Association (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Jan 26

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Sinotrans Limited's (HKG:598) Low P/E

Sinotrans Limited's ( HKG:598 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x might make it look like a buy right now...
Narrative Update • Jan 19

598: Capital Reduction And Share Buyback Will Support Future Rerating

Analysts have raised their price target on Sinotrans to US$6.33 from US$5.52, citing adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations, profit margin forecasts, and future P/E inputs. What's in the News An extraordinary general meeting on 29 December 2025 approved a reduction of registered capital and amendments to the Articles of Association.
Narrative Update • Jan 05

598: Capital Restructuring And Share Buybacks Will Guide Future Returns Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Sinotrans slightly to reflect modestly higher long term discount rate assumptions and a marginally lower future price to earnings multiple, while keeping fair value estimates broadly unchanged. What's in the News Shareholders approved a reduction of registered capital and amendments to the Articles of Association at the 29 December 2025 extraordinary general meeting, formalizing earlier proposals on capital structure changes (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Dec 30

Sinotrans Limited's (HKG:598) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 95% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Sinotrans fair value estimate is HK$9.37 Sinotrans is...
Narrative Update • Dec 20

598: Governance Reforms And Share Buybacks Will Shape Future Capital Allocation Outcomes

Analysts have nudged their price target on Sinotrans slightly higher to reflect modestly stronger long term cash flow assumptions and a marginally lower anticipated future valuation multiple, despite only minor adjustments to the discount rate and growth inputs. What's in the News Sinotrans will hold a board meeting on December 11, 2025 to consider amendments to its articles of association and board meeting rules to increase the number of board seats (company filing).
Analysis Article • Dec 12

Why Sinotrans Limited (HKG:598) Could Be Worth Watching

Sinotrans Limited ( HKG:598 ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10...
Narrative Update • Dec 06

598: Continued Buybacks And Governance Changes Will Shape Future Shareholder Outcomes

Narrative Update on Sinotrans Analyst Price Target Analysts have nudged their price target on Sinotrans slightly higher to approximately $4.89, citing marginal improvements in the company’s discount rate assumptions along with sustained expectations for steady revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Sinotrans has called a special shareholders meeting for December 29, 2025 in Beijing to vote on key corporate matters, including capital changes and governance structure (company announcement).
Narrative Update • Nov 22

598: Continued Buybacks And Board Restructuring Will Influence Shareholder Outcomes Ahead

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Sinotrans, reflecting updated discount rate assumptions as well as stable projections for growth and profitability. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Sinotrans repurchased 4,309,534 shares for CNY 26.17 million.
Narrative Update • Nov 07

598: Ongoing Buybacks And Governance Changes Will Shape Shareholder Value Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target for Sinotrans from $4.55 to $4.89. This reflects increased expectations for revenue growth, tempered slightly by a higher discount rate and a slight reduction in projected profit margin.
Narrative Update • Oct 24

New Financial Moves And Board Decisions Will Drive Global Logistics Expansion

Narrative Update: Sinotrans Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have made a slight upward revision to their price target for Sinotrans, adjusting it from $4.55 to $4.55. This reflects stable expectations in fair value while noting minor shifts in forecast assumptions.
Narrative Update • Oct 10

New Hubs In Europe And Asia Will Unlock Global Digital Trade

Analysts have revised their price target for Sinotrans downward from $4.75 to $4.55, citing moderated revenue growth projections and a slightly higher discount rate in their updated outlook. What's in the News Sinotrans Limited shareholders approved amendments to the Articles of Association and abolished the supervisory committee at the EGM held on September 29, 2025 (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Oct 06

Sinotrans Limited's (HKG:598) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 13x, you may consider...
Narrative Update • Sep 26

New Hubs In Europe And Asia Will Unlock Global Digital Trade

Despite a notable reduction in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Sinotrans’ rising future P/E suggests higher investor confidence or expectations of margin improvement, supporting the increase in the consensus analyst price target from HK$4.55 to HK$4.75. What's in the News Completed share buyback of 88,254,536 shares (1.22% of share capital) for CNY 448.34 million under the program announced in October 2024.
Narrative Update • Sep 11

New Hubs In Europe And Asia Will Unlock Global Digital Trade

The consensus analyst price target for Sinotrans has increased to HK$4.55, primarily reflecting improved revenue growth forecasts and higher expected future earnings multiples. What's in the News Board meeting to consider proposed amendments to the articles of association.
Analysis Article • Aug 29

Sinotrans' (HKG:598) Dividend Will Be CN¥0.1592

Sinotrans Limited's ( HKG:598 ) investors are due to receive a payment of CN¥0.1592 per share on 20th of October. This...
Narrative Update • Aug 27

Expanding Asia, Europe And Latin America Will Redefine Global Logistics

The upward revision in Sinotrans' analyst price target is primarily driven by higher revenue growth forecasts and an expansion in the expected future P/E, resulting in a modest increase in fair value from HK$4.04 to HK$4.15. What's in the News Board meeting to consider and approve unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2025, a potential interim dividend, and other issues.
Analysis Article • Jul 31

The Return Trends At Sinotrans (HKG:598) Look Promising

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Analysis Article • Jun 25

Sinotrans Limited's (HKG:598) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 85% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Sinotrans fair value estimate is HK$7.29 Sinotrans' HK$3.94...
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 09

Accelerating Digital Transformation To 45% Online Will Drive Future Efficiency

Focus on digital transformation and operational reforms aims to enhance efficiency, stability, and profitability, potentially improving net margins.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:598 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028113,330N/AN/A4,1432
12/31/2027107,3773,621N/A3,2154
12/31/2026102,4803,336N/A3,9414
3/31/202694,5864,0581,0352,645N/A
12/31/202596,8094,0221,4333,086N/A
9/30/202594,7863,7722,8204,278N/A
6/30/202599,7433,9194,2525,929N/A
3/31/2025105,0893,7593,8775,470N/A
12/31/2024105,6213,9182,5574,111N/A
9/30/2024114,8213,8862,2533,453N/A
6/30/2024110,0663,9741371,505N/A
3/31/2024103,5994,062-3181,275N/A
12/31/2023101,7654,2152,2213,833N/A
9/30/2023101,3893,6561,9214,044N/A
6/30/2023102,2013,9373,4625,250N/A
3/31/2023102,1214,0535,0376,552N/A
12/31/2022109,2944,0793,6855,245N/A
9/30/2022107,2534,2112,9534,443N/A
6/30/2022117,8633,8792,9474,575N/A
3/31/2022125,0883,8613,3764,886N/A
12/31/2021124,3483,7142,7184,165N/A
9/30/2021120,0583,7523,0094,667N/A
6/30/2021106,5203,7022,0803,700N/A
3/31/202197,0563,3478682,741N/A
12/31/202084,5372,7542,1433,956N/A
9/30/202084,0952,7692,5454,501N/A
6/30/202079,6282,5022,5424,320N/A
3/31/202076,0372,4651,6573,432N/A
12/31/201977,6552,804N/A3,322N/A
9/30/201977,4232,883N/A1,999N/A
6/30/201978,5382,926N/A2,596N/A
3/31/201977,8342,806N/A2,119N/A
12/31/201877,3122,704N/A2,013N/A
9/30/201874,8212,477N/A1,833N/A
6/30/201874,6502,374N/A2,917N/A
3/31/201873,1362,171N/A2,311N/A
12/31/201773,1582,304N/A3,006N/A
9/30/201773,2442,408N/A2,065N/A
6/30/201773,3312,512N/A1,123N/A
3/31/201766,7412,383N/A1,748N/A
12/31/201660,1522,254N/A2,373N/A
9/30/201652,3971,919N/A2,292N/A
6/30/201644,6421,585N/A2,211N/A
3/31/201645,2571,539N/A2,322N/A
12/31/201545,8731,493N/A2,434N/A
9/30/201545,7451,294N/A1,302N/A
6/30/201547,4041,365N/A1,049N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 598's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6% per year).

Earnings vs Market: 598's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 598's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 598's revenue (6.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (8.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 598's revenue (6.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 598's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.6%).

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/30 09:15
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sinotrans Limited is covered by 19 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Karl ChoiBofA Global Research
Fan TsoBofA Global Research
Andrew John OrchardCGS International