Stock Analysis

Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings (HKG:3683) Share Prices Have Dropped 27% In The Last Three Years

SEHK:3683
Source: Shutterstock

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings Limited (HKG:3683) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 27% in three years, versus a market decline of about 3.4%. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 8.9%.

See our latest analysis for Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings

Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

Over the last three years, Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings' revenue dropped 2.8% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. The stock has disappointed holders over the last three years, falling 8%, annualized. And with no profits, and weak revenue, are you surprised? However, in this kind of situation you can sometimes find opportunity, where sentiment is negative but the company is actually making good progress.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3683 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 26th 2021

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings had a tough year, with a total loss of 19%, against a market gain of about 22%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 0.2% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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