Stock Analysis

Hainan Meilan International Airport (HKG:357) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SEHK:357
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited (HKG:357) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hainan Meilan International Airport

What Is Hainan Meilan International Airport's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hainan Meilan International Airport had CN¥2.32b of debt in June 2021, down from CN¥2.88b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥551.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.77b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:357 Debt to Equity History August 27th 2021

A Look At Hainan Meilan International Airport's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hainan Meilan International Airport had liabilities of CN¥6.94b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥329.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥551.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥396.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥6.33b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥10.00b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Hainan Meilan International Airport's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Hainan Meilan International Airport's net debt is 2.6 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 33.0 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Sadly, Hainan Meilan International Airport's EBIT actually dropped 2.3% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hainan Meilan International Airport's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Hainan Meilan International Airport burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Neither Hainan Meilan International Airport's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. It's also worth noting that Hainan Meilan International Airport is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Hainan Meilan International Airport's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hainan Meilan International Airport you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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