Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Expressway (HKG:177) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

SEHK:177
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Jiangsu Expressway (HKG:177) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Jiangsu Expressway is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.061 = CN¥4.0b ÷ (CN¥78b - CN¥14b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

So, Jiangsu Expressway has an ROCE of 6.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Infrastructure industry average of 5.0%.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Expressway

roce
SEHK:177 Return on Capital Employed April 2nd 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Jiangsu Expressway compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Jiangsu Expressway.

So How Is Jiangsu Expressway's ROCE Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Jiangsu Expressway, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 6.1% from 14% five years ago. However it looks like Jiangsu Expressway might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

In Conclusion...

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Jiangsu Expressway's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 12% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

If you want to continue researching Jiangsu Expressway, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.