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Does China Infrastructure & Logistics Group (HKG:1719) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd. (HKG:1719) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China Infrastructure & Logistics Group had HK$251.6m of debt in December 2024, down from HK$375.4m, one year before. However, it does have HK$65.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$186.3m.
How Strong Is China Infrastructure & Logistics Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Infrastructure & Logistics Group had liabilities of HK$293.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$199.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$65.4m in cash and HK$85.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$342.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since China Infrastructure & Logistics Group has a market capitalization of HK$1.07b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
See our latest analysis for China Infrastructure & Logistics Group
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
China Infrastructure & Logistics Group shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (6.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.23 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, China Infrastructure & Logistics Group's EBIT was down 86% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Infrastructure & Logistics Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Infrastructure & Logistics Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
China Infrastructure & Logistics Group's EBIT growth rate and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. It's also worth noting that China Infrastructure & Logistics Group is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think China Infrastructure & Logistics Group's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with China Infrastructure & Logistics Group .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1719
China Infrastructure & Logistics Group
An investment holding company, develops, operates, and manages container and other ports in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.
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