Stock Analysis

Yues International Holdings Group Limited's (HKG:1529) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

SEHK:1529
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Yues International Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1529) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 43% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Logistics industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.2x, you may still consider Yues International Holdings Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 0.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

See our latest analysis for Yues International Holdings Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1529 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024

How Has Yues International Holdings Group Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Yues International Holdings Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Yues International Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Yues International Holdings Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Yues International Holdings Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 23% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Yues International Holdings Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Yues International Holdings Group's P/S?

Despite the recent share price weakness, Yues International Holdings Group's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Yues International Holdings Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Yues International Holdings Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Yues International Holdings Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Yues International Holdings Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.