Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (HKG:1199) Hampers Share Price

SEHK:1199
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COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited's (HKG:1199) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 20x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for COSCO SHIPPING Ports as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Ports

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1199 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 24th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on COSCO SHIPPING Ports will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, COSCO SHIPPING Ports would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.7%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 9.8% overall drop in EPS. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 4.2% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that COSCO SHIPPING Ports' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On COSCO SHIPPING Ports' P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of COSCO SHIPPING Ports' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - COSCO SHIPPING Ports has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether COSCO SHIPPING Ports is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.