Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On China Southern Airlines Company Limited (HKG:1055) Might Be Difficult

SEHK:1055
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It's not a stretch to say that China Southern Airlines Company Limited's (HKG:1055) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Airlines industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for China Southern Airlines

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1055 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 13th 2025

What Does China Southern Airlines' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

There hasn't been much to differentiate China Southern Airlines' and the industry's revenue growth lately. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. Those who are bullish on China Southern Airlines will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China Southern Airlines will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like China Southern Airlines' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 28%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 66% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 7.9% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.9%, which is not materially different.

With this in mind, it makes sense that China Southern Airlines' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What Does China Southern Airlines' P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've seen that China Southern Airlines maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for China Southern Airlines with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.