Stock Analysis

SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings' (HKG:315) Shareholders Are Down 65% On Their Shares

SEHK:315
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Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. To wit, the SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Limited (HKG:315) share price managed to fall 65% over five long years. That's not a lot of fun for true believers. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 31% in the last year. Unhappily, the share price slid 1.9% in the last week.

See our latest analysis for SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the five years over which the share price declined, SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 18% each year. Notably, the share price has fallen at 19% per year, fairly close to the change in the EPS. This suggests that market participants have not changed their view of the company all that much. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:315 Earnings Per Share Growth January 27th 2021

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings, it has a TSR of -54% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings shareholders are down 27% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 20%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings .

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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