Stock Analysis

APT Satellite Holdings (HKG:1045) Will Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.145

SEHK:1045
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The board of APT Satellite Holdings Limited (HKG:1045) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 14th of June, with investors receiving HK$0.145 per share. This means the annual payment is 8.9% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for APT Satellite Holdings

APT Satellite Holdings Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, APT Satellite Holdings' dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 28% of free cash flows. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 14.0% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 100%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1045 Historic Dividend March 28th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.04 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.195. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 17% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though APT Satellite Holdings' EPS has declined at around 14% a year. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

In Summary

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for APT Satellite Holdings (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about. Is APT Satellite Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.