Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings Limited (HKG:8245) As Shares Slide 35%

SEHK:8245
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings Limited (HKG:8245) shares are down a considerable 35% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 11% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Communications industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8245 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

What Does Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.5%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 69% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We find it unexpected that Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware Zhao Xian Business Ecology International Holdings is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those are concerning.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:8245

Shanyu Group Holdings

An investment holding company, designs, manufactures, sells, and trades two-way radios, baby monitors, and other communication devices in Europe, the People’s Republic of China, the United States, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Australia.

Slight with questionable track record.