There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So while Vtech Holdings (HKG:303) has a high ROCE right now, lets see what we can decipher from how returns are changing.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Vtech Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.22 = US$179m ÷ (US$1.3b - US$517m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Therefore, Vtech Holdings has an ROCE of 22%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 5.4% earned by companies in a similar industry.
View our latest analysis for Vtech Holdings
In the above chart we have measured Vtech Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Vtech Holdings here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Vtech Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. While it's comforting that the ROCE is high, five years ago it was 35%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Bottom Line
To conclude, we've found that Vtech Holdings is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 25% in the last five years. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Vtech Holdings has the makings of a multi-bagger.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Vtech Holdings (of which 1 is significant!) that you should know about.
Vtech Holdings is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:303
Vtech Holdings
Designs, manufactures, and distributes electronic products in Hong Kong, North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.