What Does Xiaomi Corporation's (HKG:1810) Share Price Indicate?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
July 24, 2021
SEHK:1810
Source: Shutterstock

Let's talk about the popular Xiaomi Corporation (HKG:1810). The company's shares saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SEHK, rising to highs of HK$30.00 and falling to the lows of HK$24.45. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Xiaomi's current trading price of HK$26.35 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Xiaomi’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Xiaomi

What is Xiaomi worth?

The stock is currently trading at HK$26.35 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 21% compared to my intrinsic value of HK$21.83. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Xiaomi’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Xiaomi generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1810 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 25th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Xiaomi, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 7.5%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? 1810’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe 1810 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 1810 for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Xiaomi.

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