Stock Analysis

USPACE Technology Group Limited (HKG:1725) Stock Rockets 101% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

USPACE Technology Group Limited (HKG:1725) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 101% after a shaky period beforehand. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 72% share price drop in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking USPACE Technology Group is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 0.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for USPACE Technology Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1725 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 28th 2024
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How Has USPACE Technology Group Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at USPACE Technology Group over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on USPACE Technology Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is USPACE Technology Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like USPACE Technology Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 19% last year. Revenue has also lifted 12% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that USPACE Technology Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On USPACE Technology Group's P/S

USPACE Technology Group shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of USPACE Technology Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

You need to take note of risks, for example - USPACE Technology Group has 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1725

China Strategic Technology Group

An investment holding company, provides electronics manufacturing services in the People's Republic of China, the United States, India, South Korea, Hong Kong, Germany, Vietnam, Australia, and internationally.

Slight risk with mediocre balance sheet.

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