Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For HK Asia Holdings (HKG:1723)

SEHK:1723
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating HK Asia Holdings (HKG:1723), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for HK Asia Holdings, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.069 = HK$10m ÷ (HK$183m - HK$34m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).

Thus, HK Asia Holdings has an ROCE of 6.9%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 8.2% average generated by the Electronic industry.

View our latest analysis for HK Asia Holdings

roce
SEHK:1723 Return on Capital Employed July 29th 2021

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how HK Asia Holdings has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Can We Tell From HK Asia Holdings' ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at HK Asia Holdings, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 57% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

On a side note, HK Asia Holdings has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 18% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

Our Take On HK Asia Holdings' ROCE

We're a bit apprehensive about HK Asia Holdings because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last yearthe stock has delivered a respectable 7.8% return. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.

HK Asia Holdings does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

While HK Asia Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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