Should You Be Holding Synertone Communication Corporation (HKG:1613) Right Now?

For Synertone Communication Corporation’s (SEHK:1613) shareholders, and also potential investors in the stock, understanding how the stock’s risk and return characteristics can impact your portfolio is important. Broadly speaking, there are two types of risk you should consider when investing in stocks such as 1613. The first type is company-specific risk, which can be diversified away by investing in other companies to reduce exposure to one particular stock. The other type of risk, which cannot be diversified away, is market risk. Every stock in the market is exposed to this risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few.

Not every stock is exposed to the same level of market risk. A widely-used metric to measure a stock’s market risk is beta, and the broad market index represents a beta value of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, and those with a beta less than one is generally less volatile.

View our latest analysis for Synertone Communication

An interpretation of 1613’s beta

Synertone Communication has a beta of 2.57, which means that the percentage change in its stock value will be higher than the entire market in times of booms and busts. A high level of beta means investors face higher risk associated with potential gains and losses driven by market movements. Based on this beta value, 1613 may be a stock for investors with a portfolio mainly made up of low-beta stocks. This is because during times of bullish sentiment, you can reap more of the upside with high-beta stocks compared to muted movements of low-beta holdings.

SEHK:1613 Income Statement Apr 11th 18
SEHK:1613 Income Statement Apr 11th 18

Does 1613’s size and industry impact the expected beta?

With a market cap of HK$251.16M, 1613 falls within the small-cap spectrum of stocks, which are found to experience higher relative risk compared to larger companies. In addition to size, 1613 also operates in the communications industry, which has commonly demonstrated strong reactions to market-wide shocks. So, investors should expect a larger beta for smaller companies operating in a cyclical industry in contrast with lower beta for larger firms in a more defensive industry. This is consistent with 1613’s individual beta value we discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

How 1613’s assets could affect its beta

An asset-heavy company tends to have a higher beta because the risk associated with running fixed assets during a downturn is highly expensive. I examine 1613’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets to see whether the company is highly exposed to the risk of this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets account for less than a third of the company’s overall assets, 1613 seems to have a smaller dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. As a result, the company may be less volatile relative to broad market movements, compared to a company of similar size but higher proportion of fixed assets. However, this is the opposite to what 1613’s actual beta value suggests, which is higher stock volatility relative to the market.

What this means for you:

You may reap the gains of 1613’s returns during times of economic growth by holding the stock. Its low fixed cost also implies that it has the flexibility to adjust its cost to preserve margins during times of a downturn. I recommend analysing the stock in terms of your current portfolio composition before deciding to invest more into 1613. In order to fully understand whether 1613 is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Synertone Communication’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is 1613’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has 1613 been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of 1613’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.