Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings' (HKG:909) Cash Burn Situation

SEHK:909
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So should Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings (HKG:909) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

View our latest analysis for Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings

Does Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Have A Long Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. In June 2023, Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings had CN¥4.3b in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥116m. That means it had a cash runway of very many years as of June 2023. Importantly, though, analysts think that Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings will reach cashflow breakeven before then. If that happens, then the length of its cash runway, today, would become a moot point. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:909 Debt to Equity History March 6th 2024

How Well Is Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Growing?

Given our focus on Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings' cash burn, we're delighted to see that it reduced its cash burn by a nifty 85%. But it was a bit disconcerting to see operating revenue down 19% in that time. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Raise More Cash Easily?

There's no doubt Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings has a market capitalisation of CN¥3.6b and burnt through CN¥116m last year, which is 3.2% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

Is Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings' Cash Burn A Worry?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash burn reduction suggests that the company is on a good path. While its falling revenue wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. There's no doubt that shareholders can take a lot of heart from the fact that analysts are forecasting it will reach breakeven before too long. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. Notably, our data indicates that Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings insiders have been trading the shares. You can discover if they are buyers or sellers by clicking on this link.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.