Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Ruihe Data Technology Holdings Limited's (HKG:3680) Massive 27% Price Jump

SEHK:3680
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Despite an already strong run, Ruihe Data Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3680) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 106% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Ruihe Data Technology Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 3.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Ruihe Data Technology Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3680 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024

How Ruihe Data Technology Holdings Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Ruihe Data Technology Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Ruihe Data Technology Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Ruihe Data Technology Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 23%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 8.5% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 16% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Ruihe Data Technology Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Ruihe Data Technology Holdings' P/S?

Shares in Ruihe Data Technology Holdings have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Ruihe Data Technology Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ruihe Data Technology Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ruihe Data Technology Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ruihe Data Technology Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.