Stock Analysis

We're Not Worried About Lvji Technology Holdings' (HKG:1745) Cash Burn

SEHK:1745
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So, the natural question for Lvji Technology Holdings (HKG:1745) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Our analysis indicates that 1745 is potentially overvalued!

Does Lvji Technology Holdings Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. In June 2022, Lvji Technology Holdings had CN¥373m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥11m. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from June 2022. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1745 Debt to Equity History October 12th 2022

How Well Is Lvji Technology Holdings Growing?

Lvji Technology Holdings managed to reduce its cash burn by 94% over the last twelve months, which is extremely promising, when it comes to considering its need for cash. But it was a bit disconcerting to see operating revenue down 9.4% in that time. It seems to be growing nicely. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Lvji Technology Holdings is building its business over time.

Can Lvji Technology Holdings Raise More Cash Easily?

We are certainly impressed with the progress Lvji Technology Holdings has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Lvji Technology Holdings' cash burn of CN¥11m is about 1.9% of its CN¥595m market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

Is Lvji Technology Holdings' Cash Burn A Worry?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Lvji Technology Holdings is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash burn reduction suggests that the company is on a good path. While its falling revenue wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Lvji Technology Holdings (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.