Stock Analysis

Does China Electronics Huada Technology (HKG:85) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:85
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that China Electronics Huada Technology Company Limited (HKG:85) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for China Electronics Huada Technology

How Much Debt Does China Electronics Huada Technology Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Electronics Huada Technology had HK$2.31b in debt in June 2020; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has HK$698.5m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$1.61b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:85 Debt to Equity History November 20th 2020

How Healthy Is China Electronics Huada Technology's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that China Electronics Huada Technology had liabilities of HK$3.06b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$52.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had HK$698.5m in cash and HK$1.08b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$1.34b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of HK$1.40b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on China Electronics Huada Technology's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

China Electronics Huada Technology shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (11.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.2 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. On the other hand, China Electronics Huada Technology grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Electronics Huada Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Electronics Huada Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both China Electronics Huada Technology's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider China Electronics Huada Technology to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with China Electronics Huada Technology (including 2 which is are a bit unpleasant) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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