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China Electronics Huada Technology's (HKG:85) three-year earnings growth trails the stellar shareholder returns
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, the China Electronics Huada Technology Company Limited (HKG:85) share price is up 99% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 13% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 27% in the last year, including dividends.
Since the stock has added HK$304m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During three years of share price growth, China Electronics Huada Technology achieved compound earnings per share growth of 67% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 26% average annual increase in the share price. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 5.42.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
Dive deeper into China Electronics Huada Technology's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of China Electronics Huada Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Electronics Huada Technology's TSR for the last 3 years was 133%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
China Electronics Huada Technology shareholders have received returns of 27% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 14%. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Electronics Huada Technology better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that China Electronics Huada Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:85
China Electronics Huada Technology
An investment holding company, engages in the design, development, and sale of integrated circuit chips in the People’s Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.
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