Stock Analysis

Slammed 42% Comtec Solar Systems Group Limited (HKG:712) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

SEHK:712
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Comtec Solar Systems Group Limited (HKG:712) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 42% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 30% share price drop.

After such a large drop in price, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Semiconductor industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may consider Comtec Solar Systems Group as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Comtec Solar Systems Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:712 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024

How Has Comtec Solar Systems Group Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Comtec Solar Systems Group has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Comtec Solar Systems Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Comtec Solar Systems Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 163% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of explosive growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 13% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Comtec Solar Systems Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does Comtec Solar Systems Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Comtec Solar Systems Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Semiconductor companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We're very surprised to see Comtec Solar Systems Group currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 6 warning signs for Comtec Solar Systems Group you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.