Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Pop Mart International Group (HKG:9992)

SEHK:9992
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Pop Mart International Group (HKG:9992) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Pop Mart International Group is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.14 = CN¥1.1b ÷ (CN¥8.6b - CN¥1.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

Thus, Pop Mart International Group has an ROCE of 14%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Specialty Retail industry average of 10% it's much better.

See our latest analysis for Pop Mart International Group

roce
SEHK:9992 Return on Capital Employed September 12th 2022

In the above chart we have measured Pop Mart International Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What Can We Tell From Pop Mart International Group's ROCE Trend?

In terms of Pop Mart International Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 39% over the last four years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a related note, Pop Mart International Group has decreased its current liabilities to 12% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

What We Can Learn From Pop Mart International Group's ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Pop Mart International Group. These growth trends haven't led to growth returns though, since the stock has fallen 69% over the last year. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.

If you're still interested in Pop Mart International Group it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.

While Pop Mart International Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.