Stock Analysis

Pop Mart International Group Limited's (HKG:9992) 25% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

SEHK:9992
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Pop Mart International Group Limited (HKG:9992) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 88% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Pop Mart International Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Pop Mart International Group has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Pop Mart International Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:9992 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 7th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Pop Mart International Group.

How Is Pop Mart International Group's Growth Trending?

Pop Mart International Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 132% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 86% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 27% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Pop Mart International Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Pop Mart International Group's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Pop Mart International Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Pop Mart International Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of Pop Mart International Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.