The board of Goldlion Holdings Limited (HKG:533) has announced that the dividend on 21st of September will be reduced by 12% from last year's HK$0.04 to HK$0.035. This means the annual payment is 8.7% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Goldlion Holdings
Goldlion Holdings' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Goldlion Holdings' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 7.6% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 44%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.225 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.11. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 6.9% per year. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. Goldlion Holdings has seen earnings per share falling at 7.6% per year over the last five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.
In Summary
Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We don't think Goldlion Holdings is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Goldlion Holdings (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:533
Goldlion Holdings
An investment holding company, manufactures and distributes apparel in China Mainland, Hong Kong SAR, and Singapore.
Flawless balance sheet slight.