Stock Analysis

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:39) P/S Ratio

SEHK:39
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Retail Distributors industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:39) P/S ratio of 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:39 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 14th 2024

What Does China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.2%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 1.6% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 32% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:39

China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings

An investment holding company, engages in the wine and liquor, food products trading, construction and development, rental, financial leasing, and mineral products businesses in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong.

Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.