Stock Analysis

Is It Time To Consider Buying Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:3813)?

SEHK:3813
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Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:3813), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$1.57 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$1.10. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s current trading price of HK$1.19 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Pou Sheng International (Holdings)’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Pou Sheng International (Holdings)

What's the opportunity in Pou Sheng International (Holdings)?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Pou Sheng International (Holdings)’s ratio of 7.03x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 9.7x, which means if you buy Pou Sheng International (Holdings) today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Pou Sheng International (Holdings) should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Pou Sheng International (Holdings)’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from Pou Sheng International (Holdings)?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3813 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 7th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 95%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? 3813’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 3813? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 3813, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for 3813, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Pou Sheng International (Holdings) and you'll want to know about it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.