Stock Analysis

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:3813) Mixed Fundamentals?

SEHK:3813
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s (HKG:3813) recent performance, when its stock has declined 6.1% over the past month. It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. In this article, we decided to focus on Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Pou Sheng International (Holdings)

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Pou Sheng International (Holdings) is:

5.4% = CN¥415m ÷ CN¥7.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.05.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s Earnings Growth And 5.4% ROE

On the face of it, Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s ROE is not much to talk about. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 8.5%. As a result, Pou Sheng International (Holdings) reported a very low income growth of 4.3% over the past five years.

As a next step, we compared Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 10% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:3813 Past Earnings Growth January 29th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Pou Sheng International (Holdings) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While the company did pay out a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. We infer that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits to grow its business.

Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 24%. Still, forecasts suggest that Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s future ROE will rise to 13% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Pou Sheng International (Holdings)'s performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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