Stock Analysis

We Think HKC International Holdings (HKG:248) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

SEHK:248
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that HKC International Holdings Limited (HKG:248) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for HKC International Holdings

How Much Debt Does HKC International Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 HKC International Holdings had debt of HK$122.5m, up from HK$94.5m in one year. However, it also had HK$34.1m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$88.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:248 Debt to Equity History February 25th 2023

A Look At HKC International Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, HKC International Holdings had liabilities of HK$131.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$125.0k due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$34.1m as well as receivables valued at HK$79.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$17.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

HKC International Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$71.0m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since HKC International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year HKC International Holdings had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 24%, to HK$183m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While HKC International Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at HK$756k. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled HK$22m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that HKC International Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.