David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Man Sang International Limited (HKG:938) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Man Sang International
What Is Man Sang International's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Man Sang International had HK$2.80b in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Healthy Is Man Sang International's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Man Sang International had liabilities of HK$364.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$2.80b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$46.2m as well as receivables valued at HK$26.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$3.09b.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$1.04b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Man Sang International would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Man Sang International will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Man Sang International made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$117m, which is a fall of 27%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Man Sang International's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$105m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost HK$372m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Man Sang International (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:938
Man Sang International
An investment holding company, engages in the development, leasing, and sale of properties in Mainland China and Japan.
Slight with weak fundamentals.