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Here's Why Wing Lee Property Investments (HKG:864) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Wing Lee Property Investments Limited (HKG:864) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Wing Lee Property Investments
What Is Wing Lee Property Investments's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2020 Wing Lee Property Investments had HK$97.7m of debt, an increase on HK$78.0m, over one year. However, it does have HK$7.02m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$90.7m.
A Look At Wing Lee Property Investments's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Wing Lee Property Investments had liabilities of HK$59.6m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$57.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had HK$7.02m in cash and HK$1.44m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$108.8m.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of HK$148.7m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Wing Lee Property Investments has net debt to EBITDA of 4.3 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. But the high interest coverage of 8.2 suggests it can easily service that debt. Sadly, Wing Lee Property Investments's EBIT actually dropped 8.7% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Wing Lee Property Investments's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Wing Lee Property Investments generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 92% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
Wing Lee Property Investments's net debt to EBITDA and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Wing Lee Property Investments is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Wing Lee Property Investments (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About SEHK:864
Wing Lee Property Investments
An investment holding company, engages in the property investment business in Hong Kong.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.