Stock Analysis

Hong Kong Ferry (Holdings)'s (HKG:50) Dividend Will Be HK$0.15

SEHK:50
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The board of Hong Kong Ferry (Holdings) Company Limited (HKG:50) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 17th of June, with investors receiving HK$0.15 per share. Including this payment, the dividend yield on the stock will be 3.4%, which is a modest boost for shareholders' returns.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Hong Kong Ferry (Holdings)'s stock price has increased by 34% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Hong Kong Ferry (Holdings)

Hong Kong Ferry (Holdings)'s Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Prior to this announcement, Hong Kong Ferry (Holdings)'s dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 415% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

EPS is set to fall by 13.5% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 84%, which is definitely on the higher side.

historic-dividend
SEHK:50 Historic Dividend March 23rd 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least 1 cut in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.36 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.25. This works out to be a decline of approximately 3.6% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 14% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Hong Kong Ferry (Holdings) has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about. Is Hong Kong Ferry (Holdings) not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.