Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Wing Tai Properties Limited (HKG:369) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Wing Tai Properties
What Is Wing Tai Properties's Debt?
As you can see below, Wing Tai Properties had HK$4.38b of debt at December 2020, down from HK$4.68b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$1.27b, its net debt is less, at about HK$3.11b.
How Strong Is Wing Tai Properties' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Wing Tai Properties had liabilities of HK$5.43b due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$4.18b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$1.27b and HK$1.72b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$6.62b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of HK$5.83b, we think shareholders really should watch Wing Tai Properties's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Wing Tai Properties's debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.8 suggests a heavy debt load, its interest coverage of 9.6 implies it services that debt with ease. Our best guess is that the company does indeed have significant debt obligations. One way Wing Tai Properties could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 15%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Wing Tai Properties can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Wing Tai Properties reported free cash flow worth 2.3% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
We'd go so far as to say Wing Tai Properties's net debt to EBITDA was disappointing. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Wing Tai Properties's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Wing Tai Properties that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About SEHK:369
Wing Tai Properties
An investment holding company, engages in the investment, development, and management of properties in Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, the People’s Republic of China, Singapore, and internationally.
Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.