Greentown China Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Greentown China Holdings's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.3% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 7.6% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 7.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9% in 3 years.

Key information

7.6%

Earnings growth rate

7.6%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	20.4%
Revenue growth rate	-0.3%
Future return on equity	9.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	03 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SZSC:3900 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	141,375	3,189	N/A	13,760	11
12/31/2025	136,958	3,085	5,835	8,925	12
12/31/2024	136,248	2,841	4,521	6,841	12
6/30/2024	143,969	2,617	22,013	22,206	N/A
3/31/2024	137,676	2,855	22,314	22,590	N/A
12/31/2023	131,383	3,092	22,614	22,974	N/A
9/30/2023	125,391	3,264	31,158	31,528	N/A
6/30/2023	119,399	3,437	39,703	40,082	N/A
3/31/2023	123,276	3,011	26,951	27,338	N/A
12/31/2022	127,153	2,584	14,199	14,593	N/A
9/30/2022	127,995	2,869	9,078	9,558	N/A
6/30/2022	128,836	3,153	3,957	4,523	N/A
3/31/2022	114,538	3,204	4,657	5,192	N/A
12/31/2021	100,240	3,255	5,357	5,861	N/A
9/30/2021	89,131	3,024	1,027	1,550	N/A
6/30/2021	78,021	2,793	-3,302	-2,762	N/A
3/31/2021	71,902	2,633	-3,462	-2,933	N/A
12/31/2020	65,783	2,474	-3,621	-3,104	N/A
9/30/2020	66,307	1,827	-10,608	-10,050	N/A
6/30/2020	66,831	1,180	-17,595	-16,996	N/A
3/31/2020	64,212	1,187	-13,167	-12,586	N/A
12/31/2019	61,593	1,193	-8,739	-8,176	N/A
9/30/2019	53,510	505	-8,246	-7,738	N/A
6/30/2019	45,427	-183	-7,753	-7,300	N/A
3/31/2019	52,865	104	-12,925	-11,928	N/A
12/31/2018	60,303	392	-18,097	-16,556	N/A
9/30/2018	62,670	1,545	-16,209	-14,601	N/A
6/30/2018	65,037	2,699	-14,321	-12,645	N/A
3/31/2018	53,495	2,181	N/A	-13,864	N/A
12/31/2017	41,953	1,662	N/A	-15,083	N/A
9/30/2017	35,848	1,876	N/A	-8,021	N/A
6/30/2017	29,743	2,089	N/A	-958	N/A
3/31/2017	29,359	1,801	N/A	1,246	N/A
12/31/2016	28,976	1,513	N/A	3,450	N/A
9/30/2016	26,974	1,044	N/A	-1,306	N/A
6/30/2016	24,973	576	N/A	-6,063	N/A
3/31/2016	25,510	554	N/A	-2,668	N/A
12/31/2015	26,047	532	N/A	726	N/A
9/30/2015	28,146	1,118	N/A	3,388	N/A
6/30/2015	30,245	1,703	N/A	6,050	N/A
3/31/2015	31,147	1,714	N/A	3,073	N/A
12/31/2014	32,049	1,725	N/A	96	N/A
9/30/2014	31,693	2,534	N/A	-1,807	N/A
6/30/2014	31,337	3,343	N/A	-3,710	N/A
3/31/2014	30,164	4,023	N/A	-1,218	N/A
12/31/2013	28,991	4,703	N/A	1,274	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 3900's forecast earnings growth (7.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 3900's earnings (7.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (12.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 3900's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 3900's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 3900's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.3% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 3900's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9%).

Greentown China Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

New minor risk - Share price stability

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.81 (vs CN¥0.99 in 1H 2023)

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23%

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Now 22% overvalued

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.81 (vs CN¥0.99 in 1H 2023)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Greentown China Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 23, 2024

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.43 per share

Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

Now 24% overvalued after recent price rise

New major risk - Financial position

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 38%

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Greentown China Holdings Limited Announces Management Changes

Dividend of CN¥0.43 announced

Greentown China Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 14, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released

Greentown China Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 22, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.99 (vs CN¥0.67 in 1H 2022)

Greentown China Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 25, 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.50 per share at 6.4% yield

Greentown China Holdings Limited Recommends Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2022, Expects to Pay Before 31 July 2023

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.03 (vs CN¥1.31 in FY 2021)

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Less than half of directors are independent

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.67 (vs CN¥0.71 in 1H 2021)

Greentown China Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 25, 2022

Key Executive recently sold HK$1.9m worth of stock

Greentown China Holdings Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 29 July 2022

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.46 per share

Greentown China Holdings Limited Announces Board Changes

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.31 (vs CN¥1.05 in FY 2020)

Less than half of directors are independent

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Alternate Director recently bought HK$799k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.71 (vs CN¥0.65 in 1H 2020)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Alternate Director recently sold HK$213k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Alternate Director recently sold HK$342k worth of stock

Alternate Director recently sold HK$371k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.35 per share

Greentown China Holdings Limited Recommends Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2020

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥1.05 (vs CN¥0.55 in FY 2019)

Alternate Director recently bought HK$480k worth of stock

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥1.05 (vs CN¥0.55 in FY 2019)

Executive Director has left the company

Executive Director has left the company

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Greentown China Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 22, 2021

New 90-day low: HK$10.50

New 90-day low: HK$10.76

Greentown China Holdings Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer Changes

Market pulls back on stock over the past week

New 90-day high: HK$12.04

New 90-day high - HK$11.34

New 90-day high - HK$10.12

Greentown China Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 27, 2020

New 90-day high - HK$9.60

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts