Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited

SHSC:6098 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$17.8b

Country Garden Services Holdings Valuation

Is 6098 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6098 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6098 (HK$5.33) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$8.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6098 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6098?

Key metric: As 6098 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 6098. This is calculated by dividing 6098's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 6098's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesCN¥42.92b
Market CapCN¥16.55b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 6098's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 6098 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
6049 Poly Property Services
1x10.6%HK$17.2b
2869 Greentown Service Group
0.6x9.3%HK$12.1b
10 Hang Lung Group
1.1xn/aHK$13.6b
2602 Onewo
0.7x9.1%HK$25.8b
6098 Country Garden Services Holdings
0.4x2.7%HK$17.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 6098 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 6098's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

87 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1908 C&D International Investment Group
0.2x3.1%US$3.69b
1918 Sunac China Holdings
0.2x-14.2%US$3.19b
3900 Greentown China Holdings
0.2x-0.4%US$3.03b
1030 Seazen Group
0.1x-22.6%US$1.81b
6098 0.4xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies87PS00.81.62.43.24+
87 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 6098 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6098's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6098 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 6098 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6098 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$5.33
HK$4.89
-8.3%
28.7%HK$7.64HK$2.02n/a16
Nov ’25HK$5.94
HK$4.90
-17.6%
27.8%HK$7.63HK$2.02n/a17
Oct ’25HK$6.51
HK$4.74
-27.2%
28.5%HK$7.74HK$2.05n/a17
Sep ’25HK$4.47
HK$4.66
+4.2%
26.7%HK$7.65HK$2.03n/a17
Aug ’25HK$4.58
HK$5.50
+20.2%
28.5%HK$8.95HK$1.99n/a17
Jul ’25HK$4.82
HK$5.56
+15.4%
28.2%HK$8.93HK$1.99n/a17
Jun ’25HK$5.69
HK$5.58
-1.9%
28.2%HK$8.97HK$2.00n/a17
May ’25HK$5.28
HK$5.58
+5.8%
28.0%HK$8.99HK$2.00n/a17
Apr ’25HK$5.01
HK$6.50
+29.6%
33.2%HK$13.76HK$3.59n/a18
Mar ’25HK$5.98
HK$9.06
+51.5%
37.8%HK$17.51HK$5.50n/a18
Feb ’25HK$5.09
HK$10.25
+101.3%
45.6%HK$23.83HK$5.87n/a18
Jan ’25HK$6.75
HK$10.97
+62.5%
39.5%HK$23.98HK$5.93n/a18
Dec ’24HK$7.10
HK$10.79
+51.9%
38.2%HK$23.31HK$5.88n/a18
Nov ’24HK$6.85
HK$10.79
+57.5%
38.2%HK$23.31HK$5.88HK$5.9418
Oct ’24HK$8.08
HK$15.08
+86.7%
81.3%HK$56.35HK$5.87HK$6.5121
Sep ’24HK$9.02
HK$15.26
+69.2%
81.3%HK$57.02HK$5.88HK$4.4721
Aug ’24HK$8.40
HK$21.07
+150.8%
57.5%HK$57.30HK$6.70HK$4.5821
Jul ’24HK$10.12
HK$22.33
+120.7%
51.7%HK$58.20HK$11.98HK$4.8221
Jun ’24HK$8.81
HK$22.71
+157.8%
50.5%HK$58.53HK$12.04HK$5.6921
May ’24HK$12.24
HK$23.58
+92.6%
49.5%HK$60.25HK$13.02HK$5.2821
Apr ’24HK$13.58
HK$24.85
+83.0%
47.3%HK$60.32HK$13.04HK$5.0121
Mar ’24HK$15.84
HK$28.30
+78.7%
38.5%HK$60.85HK$12.97HK$5.9818
Feb ’24HK$21.70
HK$30.74
+41.6%
37.3%HK$61.45HK$13.10HK$5.0919
Jan ’24HK$19.44
HK$32.31
+66.2%
49.3%HK$78.79HK$12.84HK$6.7519
Dec ’23HK$19.60
HK$30.12
+53.7%
51.4%HK$76.69HK$12.50HK$7.1020
Nov ’23HK$7.31
HK$28.02
+283.3%
47.3%HK$58.28HK$12.19HK$6.8520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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