Stock Analysis

Ever Sunshine Services Group's (HKG:1995) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

SEHK:1995
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Ever Sunshine Services Group Limited's (HKG:1995) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

View our latest analysis for Ever Sunshine Services Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1995 Earnings and Revenue History October 3rd 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Ever Sunshine Services Group's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to June 2024, Ever Sunshine Services Group had an accrual ratio of -0.12. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥862m, well over the CN¥459.1m it reported in profit. Given that Ever Sunshine Services Group had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥862m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Ever Sunshine Services Group's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Ever Sunshine Services Group has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Ever Sunshine Services Group's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share increased by 34% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. While conducting our analysis, we found that Ever Sunshine Services Group has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Ever Sunshine Services Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ever Sunshine Services Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.