Ever Sunshine Services Group Limited

SEHK:1995 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$3.5b

Ever Sunshine Services Group Valuation

Is 1995 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1995 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1995 (HK$2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$14.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1995 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1995?

Key metric: As 1995 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1995. This is calculated by dividing 1995's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1995's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7x
EarningsCN¥459.09m
Market CapCN¥3.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1995's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1995 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.5x
1755 S-Enjoy Service Group
5.3x7.5%HK$2.6b
2156 C&D Property Management Group
6.4xn/aHK$3.3b
6626 Yuexiu Services Group
8.4x14.6%HK$4.7b
816 Jinmao Property Services
5.9x11.4%HK$2.3b
1995 Ever Sunshine Services Group
7x10.3%HK$3.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1995 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (6.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1995's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
29 Dynamic Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$226.58m
2768 Jiayuan International Group
1.4x31.6%US$151.18m
3883 China Aoyuan Group
0.06xn/aUS$138.60m
2117 Datang Group Holdings
1.2xn/aUS$87.18m
1995 7.0xIndustry Avg. 7.2xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1995 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (7.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1995's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1995 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7x
Fair PE Ratio7.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1995 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1995 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$2.00
HK$2.56
+27.8%
23.1%HK$3.39HK$2.08n/a3
Nov ’25HK$2.51
HK$2.56
+1.8%
23.1%HK$3.39HK$2.08n/a3
Oct ’25HK$2.50
HK$2.16
-13.4%
2.4%HK$2.20HK$2.09n/a3
Sep ’25HK$1.73
HK$1.83
+5.5%
25.2%HK$2.20HK$1.18n/a3
Aug ’25HK$1.50
HK$1.47
-2.2%
15.6%HK$1.77HK$1.15n/a5
Jul ’25HK$1.57
HK$1.47
-6.2%
15.6%HK$1.79HK$1.16n/a5
Jun ’25HK$1.74
HK$1.47
-15.3%
15.6%HK$1.79HK$1.16n/a5
May ’25HK$1.66
HK$1.47
-11.2%
15.6%HK$1.79HK$1.16n/a5
Apr ’25HK$1.29
HK$1.41
+9.5%
17.7%HK$1.79HK$1.11n/a6
Mar ’25HK$1.41
HK$1.35
-4.4%
13.0%HK$1.60HK$1.11n/a6
Feb ’25HK$1.14
HK$1.31
+14.5%
11.3%HK$1.50HK$1.12n/a5
Jan ’25HK$1.45
HK$1.26
-13.4%
9.7%HK$1.43HK$1.12n/a4
Dec ’24HK$1.20
HK$2.46
+105.4%
48.5%HK$4.02HK$1.17n/a4
Nov ’24HK$1.32
HK$2.83
+114.6%
37.6%HK$3.95HK$1.40HK$2.513
Oct ’24HK$1.18
HK$4.55
+285.6%
45.2%HK$8.46HK$2.51HK$2.506
Sep ’24n/a
HK$4.55
0%
45.2%HK$8.46HK$2.51HK$1.736
Aug ’24n/a
HK$4.53
0%
45.7%HK$8.49HK$2.52HK$1.506
Jul ’24n/a
HK$5.12
0%
39.9%HK$8.42HK$2.50HK$1.5710
Jun ’24n/a
HK$6.07
0%
34.3%HK$8.86HK$2.50HK$1.749
May ’24n/a
HK$5.85
0%
35.2%HK$8.86HK$2.50HK$1.6611
Apr ’24HK$3.05
HK$5.78
+89.6%
35.4%HK$8.91HK$2.51HK$1.2913
Mar ’24HK$3.44
HK$6.82
+98.2%
41.9%HK$12.53HK$2.48HK$1.4116
Feb ’24HK$4.27
HK$7.03
+64.7%
39.9%HK$12.66HK$2.50HK$1.1416
Jan ’24HK$4.39
HK$7.06
+60.7%
38.5%HK$12.41HK$2.57HK$1.4516
Dec ’23HK$4.57
HK$6.74
+47.5%
38.6%HK$11.89HK$2.46HK$1.2016
Nov ’23HK$1.83
HK$6.96
+280.3%
36.1%HK$11.84HK$2.45HK$1.3216

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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