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Sunac China Holdings Limited's (HKG:1918) 27% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
Sunac China Holdings Limited (HKG:1918) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 47%, which is great even in a bull market.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Sunac China Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Sunac China Holdings
What Does Sunac China Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times haven't been great for Sunac China Holdings as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to begin matching the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S from declining. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sunac China Holdings .Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sunac China Holdings?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Sunac China Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 52%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 63% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 7.4% per year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.6% growth per year, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Sunac China Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Sunac China Holdings' P/S?
Sunac China Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
While Sunac China Holdings' P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Sunac China Holdings (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1918
Fair value low.
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