Stock Analysis

KWG Group Holdings (HKG:1813) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

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SEHK:1813

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that KWG Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1813) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for KWG Group Holdings

What Is KWG Group Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that KWG Group Holdings had debt of CN¥72.7b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥75.7b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.52b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥71.1b.

SEHK:1813 Debt to Equity History September 11th 2024

How Strong Is KWG Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that KWG Group Holdings had liabilities of CN¥117.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥30.4b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.52b in cash and CN¥1.74b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥144.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥682.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, KWG Group Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KWG Group Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, KWG Group Holdings reported revenue of CN¥14b, which is a gain of 9.2%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months KWG Group Holdings produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥9.6b. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥17b in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for KWG Group Holdings (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KWG Group Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.