Stock Analysis

New World Development Company Limited's (HKG:17) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

SEHK:17
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When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may consider New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 26.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

New World Development has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for New World Development

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:17 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 20th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think New World Development's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For New World Development?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like New World Development's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 22%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 9.6% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 38% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why New World Development is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From New World Development's P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that New World Development maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for New World Development (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if New World Development might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.